Transformers enable accurate prediction of acute and chronic chemical toxicity in aquatic organisms

Author:

Gustavsson Mikael1ORCID,Käll Styrbjörn2ORCID,Svedberg Patrik3ORCID,Inda-Diaz Juan S.2ORCID,Molander Sverker4,Coria Jessica1ORCID,Backhaus Thomas3ORCID,Kristiansson Erik2ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.

2. Department of Mathematical Sciences, Chalmers University of Technology/University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.

3. Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.

4. Division of Environmental Systems Analysis, Department of Technology Management and Economics, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden.

Abstract

Environmental hazard assessments are reliant on toxicity data that cover multiple organism groups. Generating experimental toxicity data is, however, resource-intensive and time-consuming. Computational methods are fast and cost-efficient alternatives, but the low accuracy and narrow applicability domains have made their adaptation slow. Here, we present a AI-based model for predicting chemical toxicity. The model uses transformers to capture toxicity-specific features directly from the chemical structures and deep neural networks to predict effect concentrations. The model showed high predictive performance for all tested organism groups—algae, aquatic invertebrates and fish—and has, in comparison to commonly used QSAR methods, a larger applicability domain and a considerably lower error. When the model was trained on data with multiple effect concentrations (EC 50 /EC 10 ), the performance was further improved. We conclude that deep learning and transformers have the potential to markedly advance computational prediction of chemical toxicity.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

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