Estimation of incubation period distribution of COVID-19 using disease onset forward time: A novel cross-sectional and forward follow-up study

Author:

Qin Jing1ORCID,You Chong2ORCID,Lin Qiushi2,Hu Taojun3ORCID,Yu Shicheng4ORCID,Zhou Xiao-Hua256ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Biostatistics Research Branch, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD 20852, USA.

2. Beijing International Center for Mathematical Research, Peking University, 100871, China.

3. School of Mathematical Sciences, Peking University, 100871, China.

4. Office for Epidemiology, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 102206, China.

5. Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, 100871, China.

6. Center for Statistical Science, Peking University, 100871, China.

Abstract

This study estimated the incubation distribution of COVID-19 using the theory of renewal process.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Zhejiang University

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference27 articles.

1. National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China National Health Commission update on February 23 2020 [Internet] (Beijing CN: National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China 27 February 2020); http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/news/TrackingtheEpidemic.htm#NHCFeb23.

2. Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention Epidemic update and risk assessment of 2019 Novel Coronavirus [Internet] (Beijing (CN): Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention; 2020 Jan 28 27 February 2020); http://chinacdc.cn/jkzt/crb/zl/szkb_11803/jszl_11811/202001/P020200128523354919292.pdf.

3. Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia

4. Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study

5. Clinical Characteristics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China

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