Most atolls will be uninhabitable by the mid-21st century because of sea-level rise exacerbating wave-driven flooding

Author:

Storlazzi Curt D.1ORCID,Gingerich Stephen B.2ORCID,van Dongeren Ap3ORCID,Cheriton Olivia M.1ORCID,Swarzenski Peter W.4ORCID,Quataert Ellen3ORCID,Voss Clifford I.5ORCID,Field Donald W.6ORCID,Annamalai Hariharasubramanian7ORCID,Piniak Greg A.6ORCID,McCall Robert3ORCID

Affiliation:

1. U.S. Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA.

2. U.S. Geological Survey, Oregon Water Science Center, Portland, OR 97201, USA.

3. Deltares, Rotterdamseweg, Delft, Netherlands.

4. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Environment Laboratories, IAEA, Monaco, Principality of Monaco.

5. U.S. Geological Survey, National Research Program, Menlo Park, CA 94025, USA.

6. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service, National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, Beaufort, NC 28516, USA.

7. International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.

Abstract

Sea-level rise and wave-driven flooding will damage freshwater resources of most atolls and soon render them uninhabitable.

Funder

U.S. Department of Defense

U.S. Geological Survey

Deltares

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference39 articles.

1. Anthropogenic forcing dominates sea-level rise since 1850;Jevrejeva S.;Geophys. Res. Lett.,2009

2. Global sea level linked to global temperature;Vermeer M.;Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.,2009

3. Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea-level projections at a global network of tide-gauge sites;Kopp R. E.;Earths Future,2014

4. J. A. Hall S. Gill J. Obeysekera W. Sweet K. Knuuti J. Marburger Regional Sea Level Scenarios for Coastal Risk Management: Managing the Uncertainty of Future Sea Level Change and Extreme Water Levels for Department of Defense Coastal Sites Worldwide (U.S. Department of Defense Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program 2016).

5. Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes;Slangen A. B. A.;Clim. Change,2014

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