Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects

Published:2021-10 Issue:6563 Volume:374 Page:
ISSN:0036-8075
Container-title:Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Science

Author:

Power Scott¹²³^ORCID,Lengaigne Matthieu⁴^ORCID,Capotondi Antonietta⁵⁶^ORCID,Khodri Myriam⁷^ORCID,Vialard Jérôme⁷^ORCID,Jebri Beyrem⁷^ORCID,Guilyardi Eric⁷⁸^ORCID,McGregor Shayne²^ORCID,Kug Jong-Seong⁹^ORCID,Newman Matthew⁵⁶^ORCID,McPhaden Michael J.¹⁰^ORCID,Meehl Gerald¹¹^ORCID,Smith Doug¹²^ORCID,Cole Julia¹³^ORCID,Emile-Geay Julien¹⁴^ORCID,Vimont Daniel¹⁵^ORCID,Wittenberg Andrew T.¹⁶^ORCID,Collins Mat¹⁷^ORCID,Kim Geon-Il⁹^ORCID,Cai Wenju¹⁸¹⁹²⁰^ORCID,Okumura Yuko²¹^ORCID,Chung Christine²²^ORCID,Cobb Kim M.²³^ORCID,Delage François²²^ORCID,Planton Yann Y.¹⁰^ORCID,Levine Aaron¹⁰^ORCID,Zhu Feng²¹^ORCID,Sprintall Janet²⁴^ORCID,Di Lorenzo Emanuele²⁵^ORCID,Zhang Xuebin¹⁸^ORCID,Luo Jing-Jia²⁶^ORCID,Lin Xiaopei¹⁹²⁰^ORCID,Balmaseda Magdalena²⁷^ORCID,Wang Guojian¹⁸^ORCID,Henley Benjamin J.²³²⁸^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, QLD, Australia.

2. School of Earth, Atmosphere, and Environment, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia.

3. ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia.

4. MARBEC, University of Montpellier, CNRS, IFREMER, IRD Sète, Montpellier, France.

5. Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA.

6. Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA.

7. LOCEAN-IPSL, Sorbonne Universités/UPMC/CNRS/IRD/MNHN, Paris, France.

8. National Centre of Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Reading, UK.

9. Division of Environmental Science and Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH), Pohang, South Korea.

10. NOAA–Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA, USA.

11. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.

12. Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK.

13. Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.

14. Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

15. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI, USA.

16. NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, USA.

17. College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QE, UK.

18. Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research, CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, TAS 7001, Australia.

19. Frontier Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System and Laboratory of Physical Oceanography, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China.

20. Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266003, China.

21. Institute for Geophysics, Jackson School of Geosciences, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA.

22. Bureau of Meteorology, Docklands, VIC, Australia.

23. School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.

24. Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.

25. Program in Ocean Science & Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.

26. Institute for Climate and Application Research (ICAR)/CICFEM/KLME/ILCEC, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China.

27. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK.

28. Securing Antarctica’s Environmental Future, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia.

Abstract

A decades-long affair Decadal climate variability and change affects nearly every aspect of our world, including weather, agriculture, ecosystems, and the economy. Predicting its expression is thus of critical importance on multiple fronts. Power et al . review what is known about tropical Pacific decadal climate variability and change, the degree to which it can be simulated and predicted, and how we might improve our understanding of it. More accurate projections will require longer and more detailed instrumental and paleoclimate records, improved climate models, and better data assimilation methods. —HJS

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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