Using paleo-archives to safeguard biodiversity under climate change

Author:

Fordham Damien A.12ORCID,Jackson Stephen T.34ORCID,Brown Stuart C.1ORCID,Huntley Brian5ORCID,Brook Barry W.6ORCID,Dahl-Jensen Dorthe78,Gilbert M. Thomas P.910ORCID,Otto-Bliesner Bette L.11ORCID,Svensson Anders7ORCID,Theodoridis Spyros2ORCID,Wilmshurst Janet M.1213ORCID,Buettel Jessie C.6ORCID,Canteri Elisabetta12ORCID,McDowell Matthew6ORCID,Orlando Ludovic1415ORCID,Pilowsky Julia12ORCID,Rahbek Carsten2161718ORCID,Nogues-Bravo David2ORCID

Affiliation:

1. The Environment Institute and School of Biological Sciences, University of Adelaide, South Australia 5005, Australia.

2. Center for Macroecology, Evolution, and Climate, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen Ø 2100, Denmark.

3. Southwest and South Central Climate Adaptation Science Centers, U.S. Geological Survey, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA.

4. Department of Geosciences and School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA.

5. Department of Biosciences, Durham University, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK.

6. School of Natural Sciences and ARC Centre of Excellence for Australian Biodiversity and Heritage, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.

7. Centre for Ice and Climate, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Juliane Maries Vej 30, 2100 Copenhagen Ø 2100, Denmark.

8. Centre for Earth Observation Science, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg MB R3T 2N2, Canada.

9. Center for Evolutionary Hologenomics, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen Ø 2100, Denmark.

10. University Museum, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.

11. Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80307-3000, USA.

12. Long-Term Ecology Laboratory, Manaaki Whenua–Landcare Research, Lincoln 7640, New Zealand.

13. School of Environment, The University of Auckland, Auckland 1142, New Zealand.

14. Laboratoire d’Anthropobiologie Moléculaire et d’Imagerie de Synthèse UMR 5288, Université de Toulouse, CNRS, Université Paul Sabatier, France.

15. Section for GeoGenetics, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen Ø 2100, Denmark.

16. Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Ascot SL5 7PY, UK.

17. Danish Institute for Advanced Study, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.

18. Institute of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Abstract

Using the past to inform the future The late Quaternary paleorecord, within the past ∼130,000 years, can help to inform present-day management of the Earth's ecosystems and biota under climate change. Fordham et al. review when and where rapid climate transitions can be found in the paleoclimate record. They show how such events in Earth's history can shape our understanding of the consequences of future global warming, including rates of biodiversity loss, changes in ecosystem structure and function, and degradation in the goods and services that these ecosystems provide to humanity. They also highlight how recent developments at the intersection of paleoecology, paleoclimatology, and macroecology can provide opportunities to anticipate and manage the responses of species and ecosystems to changing climates in the Anthropocene. Science , this issue p. eabc5654

Funder

National Science Foundation

Villum Fonden

H2020 European Research Council

European Research Council

Australian Research Council

Danish National Research Foundation

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference110 articles.

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