Evaluation of Energy Demand Required to Supply Increased Load from Transition of Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) Vehicles to Electric Vehicles (EV) by 2052 in the United States.

Abstract

With the rising need to transition from fossil fuel consumption to renewables, the transportation industry is foreseeing large-scale adoption of electric vehicles (EV). From various studies, oil will last until or around 2052 [1] [2]. Utilizing the US Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) published data on number of registered vehicles by each state, an estimated quantity of vehicles by type classified as automobiles, buses, trucks, and motorcycles was obtained. When average mileage of each vehicle was factored in, to project generation required, the need of preparation for future energy generation using renewable energy was presented. A roof-top solar photovoltaic system is easy to install on unoccupied roof space for US house owners. Obtaining the capacity of such roof-top solar PV system acts as a good decision-making criterion for both house owners and developers. How well EV cars performed against internal combustion engine (ICE) cars is another positive indication for this transition. With limitations on battery size and thus increased frequency for drivers to return for charging installation, additional fast chargers (level 3) at existing gasoline stations is an option that requires further assessment.