Assessing the Influence of Commercial Activity Characteristics Spatially on Human Behavior Post-COVID-19 Pandemic

Author:

Mabrouk Mahmoud1ORCID,Han Haoying1,Abdrabo Karim I.2,Shen Guoqiang1

Affiliation:

1. Zhejiang University

2. Cairo University

Abstract

Abstract Recently, various infectious diseases have emerged, some of which have evolved into world-threatening pandemic outbreaks. Since December 2019, the disastrous COVID-19 has spread rapidly worldwide, claiming many human lives, and dragging the global economy to a standstill with a dramatic recession. Among the ramifications are the transformations of commercial activity because of the prejudicial impact of the lockdown: a shift of sales channels towards online alternatives, accompanied by procedures for temporary closures or a move into the periphery regions with low operational expenses. Our research has significantly identified the influence of the characteristics of commercial uses on human behavioral changes in two Egyptian cities, namely the 6th of October and Sheikh Zayed, as a case study, in achieving self-sufficiency for residents during devastating outbreaks. Depending on geospatial software, descriptive geostatistical analysis, and semi-structured interviews, the study found that in both cities, new small commercial centers and complexes with more open spaces became more attractive than large malls by 74%. Also, new commercial forms are positively correlated with open spaces and negatively correlated with population density (estimated at.992 and − .366, respectively). This result may guide policymakers to transfer from huge malls to smarter, greener, dispersed malls during city planning and from monocentric urban structures to polycentric and linear commercial centers, shaping pandemic-resilient cities.

Publisher

Research Square Platform LLC

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