Problems and challenges of Avramovic stabilization program quarter of a century later

Author:

Soskic Dejan1

Affiliation:

1. University of Belgrade, Faculty of Economics, Belgrade, Serbia

Abstract

Avramovic accepted a position of a governor of Central bank of Yugoslavia (at that time, consisted of Republic of Serbia and Republic of Montenegro) in 1994. He has successfully executed one of the most effective anti-inflation programs in an adverse financial environment and without international support. This paper deals with some of the basic problems Avramovic has faced twenty five years ago, most of which have left visible consequences up to present day. They still nowadays present important weaknesses of Serbian monetary and financial system. First of those problems is low institutional independence of Serbian central bank. Second problem Avramovic was facing was lack of confidence in the banking system. Third problem Avramovic was facing at the time of his Program was lack of confidence in the local currency. These features, although less pronounced, still remain a burden for Serbian financial system. They increase lending risks, weaken monetary policy tools, and decrease rates of growth to this day.

Funder

Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia

Publisher

National Library of Serbia

Subject

General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Reference18 articles.

1. Avramović, Dragoslav. 1995. Reconstruction of the Monetary System and Economic Recovery of Yugoslavia, 1994: Analytical Framework, Results and Problems. Vienna: Vienna Institute for Comparative Economic Studies.

2. Avramović, Dragoslav. 2007. Rekonstrukcija monetarnog sistema Jugoslavije i pobeda nad inflacijom 1994 (Reconstruction of the Monetary System of Yugoslavia and Victory over Inflation). Belgrade: European Centre for Peace and Development.

3. Bernanke, Ben S., Thomas Laubach, Frederic S. Mishkin, and Adam S. Posen. 1999. Inflation Targeting: Lessons from the International Experience. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

4. Božović, Miloš, Branko Urošević, and Boško Živković. 2009. “On the Spillover of Exchange Rate Risk into Default Risk.” Economic Annals, 54(183): 32-55.

5. Cukierman, Alex, Steven B. Webb, and Bilin Neyapti. 1992. “Measuring the Independence of Central Banks and Its Effect on Policy Outcome.” The World Bank Economic Review, 6(3): 353-398.

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