Improving the Environmental Safety Risk Assessment in Construction Using Statistical Analysis Methods

Author:

Smirnova Elena1ORCID,Mamedov Shirali1ORCID,Shkarovskiy Alexander2ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Saint Petersburg State University of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Russia

2. Koszalin University of Technology, Poland; Saint Petersburg State University of Architecture and Ci

Abstract

The goal of the article is to assess risk for substantiating the economic and organizational efficiency of the construction in the context of ecologic safety. A quantitative risk estimation was made by means of the Monte Carlo way for negative and positive choices to avoid the ecological harm. The simulation algorithm imitated the distribution obtained from the ev-idence-based fit. The outcomes of a sensitivity investigation are also prepared to verify the suggestion. This risk analysis technique has a computer digital implementation. The simulation data outputs plainly demonstrate the alternative of the general norm of validation and the acceptance of the solution which is not harmful to the environment. In situations of uncertainty, the decision to select the optimistic flavor with high spending (to retain the reliableness of the technics) but less risk pretends to be a decisive factor in the eco-friendly protection strategies of the construction project.

Publisher

Politechnika Koszalinska

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