Can the Cambrian explosion be inferred through molecular phylogeny?

Abstract

Most of the major invertebrate phyla appear in the fossil record during a relatively short time interval, not exceeding 20 million years (Myr), 540-520 Myr ago. This rapid diversification is known as the `Cambrian explosion'. In the present paper, we ask whether molecular phylogenetic reconstruction provides confirmation for such an evolutionary burst. The expectation is that the molecular phylogenetic trees should take the form of a large unresolved multifurcation of the various animal lineages. Complete 18S rRNA sequences of 69 extant representatives of 15 animal phyla were obtained from data banks. After eliminating a major source of artefact leading to lack of resolution in phylogenetic trees (mutational saturation of sequences), we indeed observe that the major lines of triploblast coelomates (arthropods, molluscs, echinoderms, chordates...) are very poorly resolved i.e. the nodes defining the various clades are not supported by high bootstrap values. Using a previously developed procedure consisting of calculating bootstrap proportions of each node of the tree as a function of increasing amount of nucleotides (Lecointre, G., Philippe, H. Le, H. L. V. and Le Guyader, H. (1994) Mol. Phyl. Evol., in press) we obtain a more informative indication of the robustness of each node. In addition, this procedure allows us to estimate the number of additional nucleotides that would be required to resolve confidently the currently uncertain nodes; this number turns out to be extremely high and experimentally unfeasible. We then take this approach one step further: using parameters derived from the above analysis, assuming a molecular clock and using palaeontological dates for calibration, we establish a relationship between the number of sites contained in a given data set and the time interval that this data set can confidently resolve (with 95% bootstrap support). Under these assumptions, the presently available 18S rRNA database cannot confidently resolve cladogenetic events separated by less than about 40 Myr. Thus, at the present time, the potential resolution by the palaeontological approach is higher than that by the molecular one.