A MODEL OF DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES DETERMINATION FOR DEFENSE SPHERE

Abstract

The paper describes a model determining the list of disruptive technologies in the defense sector based on the apparatus of fuzzy logic. Input linguistic variables are indicators that determine the criticality of technologies. Each input indicator reflects the presence or absence of a certain feature in the evaluated technologies, so a simple linguistic evaluation is used. However, for the most part only objective evaluations are used without the expert’s opinion. The proposed model is presented in the form of seven fuzzy inference systems, which are arranged hierarchically. The method of bibliometric analysis for determining the prospects of technologies is described and improved. The level of technologies criticality is determined as a result of fuzzy evaluation. It is proposed to apply a new principle of technologies selection as disruptive or critical ones.