1. Department of Economics, University of Kassel, 34109 Kassel, Germany
2. Department of Economics, University of Gothenburg, 405 30 Gothenburg, Sweden
3. School of Global Policy and Strategy, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA 92093
4. Department of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA 92093
5. Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Jacobs School of Engineering, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA 92093
6. Foreign Policy Program, The Brookings Institution, Washington DC 20036