From Neolithic Revolution to industrialization

Author:

Chu Angus C.,Xu Rongxin

Abstract

Abstract This study develops a Malthusian model for the evolution of human society from hunting-gathering to agriculture and from agriculture to industrial production. Human society evolves across these stages as the population grows. However, under endogenous population growth, the population may stop growing at any stage. If it fails to reach the first threshold, the population remains as hunter-gatherers. If it reaches the first threshold, an agricultural society emerges. Then, if the population fails to reach the industrial threshold, it remains in an agricultural Malthusian trap without experiencing industrialization. Interestingly, high agricultural productivity triggers not only the Neolithic Revolution but also the subsequent industrialization. Using cross-country data to test this result, we employ an index of prehistoric biogeographic conditions that affect agricultural productivity as an instrument for the timing of transitions to agriculture and find that an earlier transition to agriculture has a positive effect on industrialization in the modern era.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Economics and Econometrics

Cited by 3 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Political fragmentation versus a unified empire in a Malthusian economy;Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization;2024-06

2. From Neolithic Revolution to industrialization;Macroeconomic Dynamics;2023-05-17

3. Natural selection and Neanderthal extinction in a Malthusian economy;Journal of Population Economics;2023-02-07

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