Author:
Lorençone João Antonio,Lorençone Pedro Antonio,Aparecido Lucas Eduardo Oliveira,Torsoni Guilherme Botega,Ferreira Lucas da Rocha
Abstract
The objective of this work was to evaluate the impact of climate change on areas suitable for Arabica coffee cultivation under different climate change scenarios. The work was carried out for all of Brazil, using data from 1960-2020. The BCC - CSM 1 climate model was used to obtain future climate data for all RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, 8.5 scenarios. All future scenarios of climate change showed a reduction in the total areas suitable for coffee cultivation in Brazil, with an average reduction of 50%. Furthermore, areas restricted by excessive heat and water deficiency were the most common throughout the country in the future scenarios, with an average of 63% of the entire territory.
Publisher
South Florida Publishing LLC
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