Advanced machine learning algorithms to evaluate the effects of the raw ingredients on flowability and compressive strength of ultra-high-performance concrete

Abstract

The estimation of concrete characteristics through artificial intelligence techniques is come out to be an effective way in the construction sector in terms of time and cost conservation. The manufacturing of Ultra-High-Performance Concrete (UHPC) is based on combining numerous ingredients, resulting in a very complex composite in fresh and hardened form. The more ingredients, along with more possible combinations, properties and relative mix proportioning, results in difficult prediction of UHPC behavior. The main aim of this research is the development of Machine Learning (ML) models to predict UHPC flowability and compressive strength. Accordingly, sophisticated and effective artificial intelligence approaches are employed in the current study. For this purpose, an individual ML model named Decision Tree (DT) and ensembled ML algorithms called Bootstrap Aggregating (BA) and Gradient Boosting (GB) are applied. Statistical analyses like; Determination Coefficient (R2), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) are also employed to evaluate algorithms’ performance. It is concluded that the GB approach appropriately forecasts the UHPC flowability and compressive strength. The higher R2 value, i.e., 0.94 and 0.95 for compressive and flowability, respectively, of the DT technique and lesser error values, have higher precision than other considered algorithms with lower R2 values. SHAP analysis reveals that limestone powder content and curing time have the highest SHAP values for UHPC flowability and compressive strength, respectively. The outcomes of this research study would benefit the scholars of the construction industry to quickly and effectively determine the flowability and compressive strength of UHPC.