Development of a Risk Score for QT Prolongation in the Intensive Care Unit Using Time-Series Electrocardiogram Data and Electronic Medical Records

Abstract

Objectives: Drug-induced QT prolongation can lead to life-threatening arrhythmia. In the intensive care unit (ICU), various drugs are administered concurrently, which can increase the risk of QT prolongation. However, no well-validated method to evaluate the risk of QT prolongation in real-world clinical practice has been established. We developed a risk scoring model to continuously evaluate the quantitative risk of QT prolongation in real-world clinical practice in the ICU.Methods: Continuous electrocardiogram (ECG) signals measured by patient monitoring devices and Electronic Medical Records data were collected for ICU patients. QT and RR intervals were measured from raw ECG data, and a corrected QT interval (QTc) was calculated by Bazett’s formula. A case-crossover study design was adopted. A case was defined as an occurrence of QT prolongation ≥12 hours after any previous QT prolongation. The patients served as their own controls. Conditional logistic regression was conducted to analyze prescription, surgical history, and laboratory test data. Based on the regression analysis, a QTc prolongation risk scoring model was established.Results: In total, 811 ICU patients who experienced QT prolongation were included in this study. Prescription information for 13 drugs was included in the risk scoring model. In the validation dataset, the high-risk group showed a higher rate of QT prolongation than the low-and low moderate-risk groups.Conclusions: Our proposed model may facilitate risk stratification for QT prolongation during ICU care as well as the selection of appropriate drugs to prevent QT prolongation.