Theory-infused and policy-relevant: On the usefulness of scenario analysis for international relations

Author:

Sus Monika12ORCID,Hadeed Marcel2ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland

2. The Hertie School, Berlin, Germany

Funder

Stiftung Mercator

Publisher

Informa UK Limited

Subject

Political Science and International Relations

Reference84 articles.

1. A review of scenario planning

2. Aon (2019). Risk Maps 2019. Aońs guide to Political Risk, Terrorism & Political Violence. https://www.aon.com/2019-political-risk-terrorism-and-political-violence-maps/index.html

3. Auswärtiges Amt. (2019). Krisenfrüherkennung, Konfliktanalyse und Strategische Vorausschau. https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/de/aussenpolitik/themen/krisenpraevention/8_Krisenfrueherkennung

4. Azqueta-Gavaldón, A., et al. (2019). Sources of economic policy uncertainty in the euro area: a machine learning approach. ECB Economic Bulletin, https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/economic-bulletin/focus/2019/html/ecb.ebbox201905_04~6b149ccb66.en.html

5. Babst, S. (2018). NATO’s strategic foresight: Navigating between Black Swans, Butterflies and Elephants [Statement]. https://securityconference.org/news/meldung/natos-strategic-foresight-navigating-between-black-swans-butterflies-and-elephants/

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