Disentangling Bias and Variance in Election Polls
Author:
Affiliation:
1. Department of Management Science & Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA
2. Microsoft Research, New York, NY
3. Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, Columbia University, New York, NY
Funder
Division of Mathematical Sciences
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Publisher
Informa UK Limited
Subject
Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Statistics and Probability
Link
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/01621459.2018.1448823
Reference16 articles.
1. Poll Faulting
2. Total Survey Error: Design, Implementation, and Evaluation
3. Gallup (2007), “Gallup World Poll Research Design.” available at http://media.gallup.com/WorldPoll/PDF/WPResearchDesign091007bleeds.pdf.
4. The Mythical Swing Voter
Cited by 47 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献
1. Bias and excess variance in election polling: a not-so-hidden Markov model;Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society;2024-07-25
2. Encuestas controladas por cuotas: una aproximación empírica a su error total;Revista Mexicana de Opinión Pública;2024-07-17
3. Estimación de la intención de voto a nivel municipal: modelo MRP en las elecciones del Edomex 2023;Revista Mexicana de Opinión Pública;2024-07-17
4. Efficiency of poll-based multi-period forecasting systems for German state elections;International Journal of Forecasting;2024-05
5. From significance testing to estimation and Open Science: How esci can help;International Journal of Psychology;2024-04-28
1.学者识别学者识别
2.学术分析学术分析
3.人才评估人才评估
"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线，采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统，可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容，当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种，收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇，并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询！咨询电话：010-8811{复制后删除}0370
www.globalauthorid.com
TOP
Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司 京公网安备11010802033243号 京ICP备18003416号-3