Individual model forecasts can be misleading, but together they are useful
Author:
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Subject
Epidemiology
Link
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10654-020-00667-8.pdf
Reference3 articles.
1. Chin V, Samia NI, Marchant R, et al. A case study in model failure? COVID-19 daily deaths and ICU bed utilisation predictions in New York State. Eur J Epidemiol. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-020-00669-6.
2. Reich NG, McGowan CJ, Yamana TK, et al. Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the US. PLoS Comput Biol. 2019;15(11):e1007486.
3. Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, et al. An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2019;116(48):24268–74.
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