Predicting shear wave velocity from conventional well logs with deep and hybrid machine learning algorithms

Abstract

Abstract Shear wave velocity (VS) data from sedimentary rock sequences is a prerequisite for implementing most mathematical models of petroleum engineering geomechanics. Extracting such data by analyzing finite reservoir rock cores is very costly and limited. The high cost of sonic dipole advanced wellbore logging service and its implementation in a few wells of a field has placed many limitations on geomechanical modeling. On the other hand, shear wave velocity VS tends to be nonlinearly related to many of its influencing variables, making empirical correlations unreliable for its prediction. Hybrid machine learning (HML) algorithms are well suited to improving predictions of such variables. Recent advances in deep learning (DL) algorithms suggest that they too should be useful for predicting VS for large gas and oil field datasets but this has yet to be verified. In this study, 6622 data records from two wells in the giant Iranian Marun oil field (MN#163 and MN#225) are used to train HML and DL algorithms. 2072 independent data records from another well (MN#179) are used to verify the VS prediction performance based on eight well-log-derived influencing variables. Input variables are standard full-set recorded parameters in conventional oil and gas well logging data available in most older wells. DL predicts VS for the supervised validation subset with a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.055 km/s and coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.9729. It achieves similar prediction accuracy when applied to an unseen dataset. By comparing the VS prediction performance results, it is apparent that the DL convolutional neural network model slightly outperforms the HML algorithms tested. Both DL and HLM models substantially outperform five commonly used empirical relationships for calculating VS from Vp relationships when applied to the Marun Field dataset. Concerns regarding the model's integrity and reproducibility were also addressed by evaluating it on data from another well in the field. The findings of this study can lead to the development of knowledge of production patterns and sustainability of oil reservoirs and the prevention of enormous damage related to geomechanics through a better understanding of wellbore instability and casing collapse problems. Graphical abstract