Modeling the compressive strength of binary and ternary blended high-performance concrete mixtures using ensemble machine learning models

Abstract

AbstractIn the present study, the compressive strength of binary and ternary blended high-performance concrete mixtures was modeled using different machine learning tools, such as artificial neural network (ANN), gradient tree boosting (GTB), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS). The compressive strength of binary and ternary blended concrete at 28 days of curing period was modeled using seven quantitative input parameters such as cement, blast furnace slag, fly ash, superplasticizer, water, coarse aggregate, and fine aggregate based on three different training and testing (Tr–Te) scenarios. The performance of the models developed was analyzed based on several statistical evaluation metrics, of error and efficiency. During the testing phase, the compressive strength estimates obtained via modeling using ANN, GTB, and MARS had Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) values of 0.8389, 0.8602, and 0.8423, respectively, for the first Tr–Te scenario; similarly, the KGE values were 0.8025/0.8830, 0.8541/0.8901, and 0.8434/0.8582, respectively, for the second/third Tr–Te scenarios. The estimation accuracy of the GTB model was relatively superior to that of the ANN and MARS models, taking into consideration both the error and efficiency indices. All three models perform relatively well for the first I/O combination compared to the other two combinations.