Estimating reliability and resolution of probability forecasts through decomposition of the empirical score
Author:
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Subject
Atmospheric Science
Link
http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00382-011-1191-1.pdf
Reference20 articles.
1. Brier GW (1950) Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probabilities. Mon Weather Rev 78(1):1–3
2. Bröcker J (2008a) On reliability analysis of multi-categorical forecasts. Nonlinear Process Geophys 15(4):661–673
3. Bröcker J (2008) Some remarks on the reliability of categorical probability forecasts. Mon Weather Rev 136:4488–4502. doi: 10.1175/2008MWR2329.1
4. Bröcker J (2009) Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores. Quart J R Meteorol Soc 135(643):1512–1519
5. Bröcker J (2011) Estimating reliability and resolution of probability forecasts using proper scoring rules (in preparation)
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