1. Separating the Brier score into calibration and refinement components: A graphical exposition;Blattenberger;The American Statistician,1985
2. Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probabilities;Brier;Mon. Weather Rev.,1950
3. Some remarks on the reliability of categorical probability forecasts;Bröcker;Mon. Weather Rev.,2008
4. From ensemble forecasts to predictive distribution functions;Bröcker;Tellus A,2008