Socio-economic security of the region in war conditions: Damage assessment, modelling of recovery paths and their regulatory support

Author:

Harbusiuk Valeriy,Blikhar Vyacheslav,Rudnichenko Yevhenii,Havlovska Nataliia

Abstract

The realities of today and the active phase of the war determine the search for new ways to form the economic potential of Ukraine, considering direct and indirect losses that have arisen as a result of military operations, which determines the relevance of the research topic. Accordingly, the purpose of the study was to analyse the factors of destabilising influence on the economic security of regions and develop ways to restore their socio-economic potential. Special attention in the course of the study was paid to the assessment of losses as a result of military operations and other processes that accompany the functioning of regions in conditions of extreme aggravation of threats. A model for assessing the negative consequences of the impact of temporary emigration, mobilisation, and internal displacement of the population on the socio-economic security of the region is developed. Within the framework of the model, the state of losses was determined depending on the ratio of the main components of temporary emigration, which include: departure from Ukraine and return, the level of job vacancies, and the demand for jobs of medical workers. The main conditions of losses from mobilisation and temporary migration of the population are also determined. It was proved that the implementation of regional rehabilitation programmes will reduce the amount of losses and ensure the growth of the socio-economic potential of the regions in the medium term, including by improving the regulatory support for financing such processes. This will allow getting a substantial social, economic, security, and legal effect. At the same time, an absolutely new field was being formed for further research on the implementation of security mechanisms at the macro, meso, and micro levels in the conditions of war and post-war reconstruction of territories. The results of the study can be used by state institutions and investment funds interested in reconstructing the socio-economic potential of Ukraine and creating safe, favourable conditions for its implementation

Publisher

Scientific Journals Publishing House

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