Сost-effectiveness of pentavalent rotavirus vaccination in the Russian Federation

Abstract

   One of the main causes of acute gastroenteritis in children under 5 years of age is rotavirus infection (RVI). Vaccines against RVI significantly reduce the incidence.   Aim. To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of mass vaccination of children with a 5-valent RVI vaccine in the Russian Federation.   Materials and methods. The assessment was carried out using modeling based on published data on the effectiveness of the vaccine and epidemiological indicators in the Russian Federation. The analysis was carried out from the perspective of the health care system and society as a whole with a 5-year horizon. The cost of RVI therapy corresponded to the compulsory health insurance tariffs for St. Petersburg for 2022, the price of 1 dose of the vaccine was the registered price, including VAT. Costs and life expectancy, taking into account quality, were discounted at 3.5 % per year.   Results. Given the assumptions made, routine vaccination will prevent an average of 468,637 cases of RVI over 5 years. Avoided direct medical costs, i. e. RVI treatment costs will amount to 53,4 %, and lost income due to temporary disability – 46,6 % of the total avoided costs. At the same time, the volume of avoided costs is 61,4 % due to a decrease in morbidity in the vaccinated population, and 38.6 % due to the development of a indirect effect. The predicted avoided costs per 1 vaccinated person is 2,975 thousand rubles. From a societal perspective, the cost-effectiveness of the Rota-V-Aid vaccine will be 364,813 thousand rubles / QALY (quality-adjusted life year), and from a healthcare perspective – 1726,399 thousand rubles / QALY. Thus, in both cases, the cost-effectiveness of RVI vaccination will not exceed the generally accepted threshold of willingness to pay, equal to three times the gross domestic product per capita in the Russian Federation (according to data for 2021 – ~2,7 million rubles). The predicted cost-effectiveness of selective vaccination is significantly lower than that of mass vaccination.   Conclusions. Mass vaccination of children with a 5-valent vaccine against RVI will not only reduce the incidence in the Russian Federation, but, taking into account the assumptions made, can also be considered as a cost-effective intervention.