Evidence Theory Representations for Properties Associated With Weak Link/Strong Link Systems, Part 1: Loss of Assured Safety

Author:

Helton Jon C.1,Brooks Dusty M.2,Darby John L.3

Affiliation:

1. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-1804

2. Structural and Thermal Analysis Department, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM 87185-0745

3. Weapon Surety Engineering II Department, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM 87185-0745

Abstract

Abstract The use of evidence theory in the analysis of loss of assured safety (LOAS) for weak link (WL)/strong link (SL) systems is introduced and illustrated. Article content includes (i) an introduction to evidence theory, (ii) definition of two WLs and two SLs used for illustration, (iii) belief and plausibility for the occurrence of LOAS for a one WL/two SL system, and (iv) a sampling-based procedure for the verification of belief and plausibility calculations. The presented results can be generalized to systems with more than one WL and two SLs.

Publisher

ASME International

Subject

Mechanical Engineering,Safety Research,Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

Reference68 articles.

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3. Passive Safety in High-Consequence Systems;Comput.,1998

4. Surety Principles Development and Integration for Nuclear Weapons;Isbell,1998

5. A First-Principle Based Approach to Quantitative Assessment of Nuclear-Detonation Safety;Isbell,1998

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