A Comparison Between Deep Learning and Support Vector Regression Techniques Applied to Solar Forecast in Spain

Author:

Lima Marcello Anderson F. B.1,Fernández Ramírez Luis M.2,Carvalho Paulo C. M.3,Batista Josias G.1,Freitas Deivid M.3

Affiliation:

1. Department of Industrial Mechatronics, Federal Institute of Education, Science and Technology, Limoeiro do Norte, CE 62.930-000, Brazil

2. Research Group in Sustainable and Renewable Electrical Technologies (PAIDI-TEP-023), Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Cadiz, EPS Algeciras, Algeciras, Cadiz 11202, Spain

3. Department of Electrical Engineering, Federal University of Ceará, Fortaleza, CE 60455-760, Brazil

Abstract

Abstract Solar energy is one of the main renewable energy sources capable of contributing to global energy demand. However, the solar resource is intermittent, making its integration into the electrical system a difficult task. Here, we present and compare two machine learning techniques, deep learning (DL) and support vector regression (SVR), to verify their behavior for solar forecasting. Our testing from Spain showed that the mean absolute percentage error for predictions using DL and SVR is 7.9% and 8.52%, respectively. The DL achieved the best results for solar energy forecast, but it is worth mentioning that the SVR also obtained satisfactory results.

Publisher

ASME International

Subject

Energy Engineering and Power Technology,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

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