Blind Kriging: A New Method for Developing Metamodels

Author:

Joseph V. Roshan1,Hung Ying1,Sudjianto Agus2

Affiliation:

1. School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332

2. Bank of America, Charlotte, NC 28255

Abstract

Kriging is a useful method for developing metamodels for product design optimization. The most popular kriging method, known as ordinary kriging, uses a constant mean in the model. In this article, a modified kriging method is proposed, which has an unknown mean model. Therefore, it is called blind kriging. The unknown mean model is identified from experimental data using a Bayesian variable selection technique. Many examples are presented, which show remarkable improvement in prediction using blind kriging over ordinary kriging. Moreover, a blind kriging predictor is easier to interpret and seems to be more robust against mis-specification in the correlation parameters.

Publisher

ASME International

Subject

Computer Graphics and Computer-Aided Design,Computer Science Applications,Mechanical Engineering,Mechanics of Materials

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