Mental health systems modelling for evidence-informed service reform in Australia

Author:

Whiteford Harvey12,Bagheri Nasser3,Diminic Sandra12ORCID,Enticott Joanne4,Gao Caroline X.567ORCID,Hamilton Matthew567,Hickie Ian B8ORCID,Khanh-Dao Le Long9,Lee Yong Yi9,Long Katrina M10,McGorry Patrick56ORCID,Meadows Graham11ORCID,Mihalopoulos Cathrine9,Occhipinti Jo-An12ORCID,Rock Daniel131415ORCID,Rosenberg Sebastian16,Salvador-Carulla Luis17ORCID,Skinner Adam16ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research, Wacol, QLD, Australia

2. School of Public Health, The University of Queensland, Herston, QLD, Australia

3. Mental Health Policy Unit, Health Research Institute, University of Canberra

4. Southern Synergy, Monash Centre of Health Research & Implementation, Monash University, Dandenong, VIC, Australia

5. Centre for Youth Mental Health, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia

6. Orygen, Parkville, VIC, Australia

7. School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University

8. Brain and Mind Centre, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia

9. Health Economics Group, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia

10. Department of Occupational Therapy, School of Primary and Allied Health Care, Monash University, Frankston, VIC, Australia

11. Southern Synergy, Department of Psychiatry, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Dandenong, VIC, Australia

12. Systems Modelling, Simulation & Data Science, Brain and Mind Centre, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney

13. WA Primary Health Alliance, Perth, Australia

14. Discipline of Psychiatry, Medical School University of Western Australia

15. Faculty of Health, University of Canberra

16. Brain and Mind Centre, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia

17. Health Research Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Canberra, Canberra, ACT, Australia

Abstract

Australia’s Fifth National Mental Health Plan required governments to report, not only on the progress of changes to mental health service delivery, but to also plan for services that should be provided. Future population demand for treatment and care is challenging to predict and one solution involves modelling the uncertain demands on the system. Modelling can help decision-makers understand likely future changes in mental health service demand and more intelligently choose appropriate responses. It can also support greater scrutiny, accountability and transparency of these processes. Australia has an emerging national capacity for systems modelling in mental health which can enhance the next phase of mental health reform. This paper introduces concepts useful for understanding mental health modelling and identifies where modelling approaches can support health service planners to make evidence-informed decisions regarding planning and investment for the Australian population.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Psychiatry and Mental health,General Medicine

Reference88 articles.

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