Retrospective and Prospective Analysis: Linking Program Evaluation and Forecasting

Abstract

This article raises some questions about the relationship between program evaluation and forecasting. Contrasting the two fields in terms of mind-set, purpose, problems, advantages, and use shows that although their modes of inquiry are indeed very different in many ways, there is also interdependence between the two in several areas. It is argued that each can be greatly strengthened by better understanding and use of the other's techniques.