1. Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, Regents Park, London, NW1 4RY, UK
2. Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, WC2A 2AE, UK
3. Division of Biology, Imperial College London, Silwood Park Campus, Manor House Buckhurst Road, Ascot, SL5 7PY, UK.
4. Environmental Change Institute, Department of Geography, University of Oxford.
5. Wildlife Conservation Research Unit, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Recanati-Kaplan Centre, Tubney House, Abingdon Road, Tubney, Oxfordshire. OX13 5QL, UK.