Evaluation of Four Validated Risk Scores to Predict Outcomes in Hispanic Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Abstract

Risk stratification plays an essential role in the management of acute pulmonary embolism (PE). Several risk scores have been studied to support risk stratification and management. While ethnic differences in acute PE risk factors exist, current risk scores lack validation for Hispanic patients. Therefore, the present study retrospectively investigated the performance of the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI), simplified PESI (sPESI), the European Society of Cardiology risk assessment (ESC), and the Bova score, to predict 30-day mortality in Hispanic patients presenting with an acute PE. Among 437 patients admitted with acute PE, 30-day mortality was 10.8%; 30-day mortality in low-risk groups ranged from 0% (sPESI, ESC) to 0.2% (PESI, Bova), and 3.0% (Bova) to 5.7% (PESI) in the highest risk groups, respectively. All four scores produced statistically significant discrimination between different risk strata. However, no single scoring system was able to identify all patients with 30-day mortality. The findings of the present study suggest that PESI, sPESI, ESC, and Bova scores provide important information about 30-day mortality in Hispanic in-patients presenting with acute PE. However, additional clinical information could further improve predictability that is not provided by a single scoring system.