A Cognitive Model of Decision-making: Application to Norwegian Oil Policy

Author:

Bonham G. Matthew1,Heradstveit Daniel2,Narvesen Ove2,Shapiro Michael J.3

Affiliation:

1. The American University, Washington, D.C.

2. Norwegian Institute of International Affairs, Oslo

3. The University of Hawaii, Honolulu

Abstract

This article attempts to increase our understanding of cognitive processes of policy- making by reporting the application of a model of individual decision-making. The application of the model is based on cognitive maps obtained from interviews which were conducted with Norwegian oil policy officials before and after the Bravo blow out in Norway's Ekofisk oil field. A comparison of simulation results for two groups of policy officials, environmentalists and non-environmentalists, using the before and after cognitive maps suggests that the model is able to replicate adjustments that policy officials make in their thinking and choice behavior to accommodate perceptions of new events.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Political Science and International Relations

Cited by 6 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. “Oil is the New Data”: Energy Technology Innovation in Digital Oil Fields;Energies;2020-10-23

2. Is Consensus Necessary for Effective Environmental Treaties?;The Journal of Environment & Development;1998-12

3. Cognitive Mapping Meets Semantic Networks;Journal of Conflict Resolution;1996-09

4. Cognitive mapping as a technique for supporting international negotiation;Theory and Decision;1993-05

5. Group Cognition;Simulation & Games;1988-12

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