Ten-year national trends in in-hospital mortality and functional outcomes after intracerebral hemorrhage by age in Japan: J-ASPECT study

Author:

Nakaoku Yuriko1ORCID,Ogata Soshiro1,Ren Nice1,Tanaka Tomotaka2,Kurogi Ryota3,Nishimura Kunihiro1,Iihara Koji4

Affiliation:

1. Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Osaka, Japan

2. Department of Neurology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Osaka, Japan

3. Department of Neurosurgery, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan

4. National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center Hospital, Suita, Japan

Abstract

Introduction: National-level data on trends in the prognosis of age-stratified patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) are lacking. This study aimed to assess time trends in in-hospital mortality and functional outcomes of ICH patients by sex and age, and to explore factors associated with changes in in-hospital mortality trend. Patients and methods: Using the largest nationwide, J-ASPECT stroke database in Japan, this serial cross-sectional study included ICH patients aged ⩾18 years who were hospitalized for non-traumatic ICH from April 2010 to March 2020. We examined trends in in-hospital mortality and functional outcomes using the modified Rankin Scale at discharge, as well as differences in in-hospital mortality change between age groups. Results: Among 262,399 ICH patients from 934 hospitals, crude in-hospital mortality showed a significant decreasing time trend (from 19.5% to 16.7%), and this trend was consistent across sex and age groups. In addition, differences in in-hospital mortality change over the 10-year study period were significant between male patients aged ⩾75 years and those aged ⩽64 years (−3.9% [95% confidence interval, −5.4 to −2.4] for 75–84 years; −4.1% [−6.3 to −1.9] for ⩾85 years). On the other hand, the proportion of dependent patients (mRS 3–5) at discharge increased from 52.0% to 54.9% over the 10-year study period. Conclusion: The in-hospital mortality of ICH patients improved, whereas the proportion of patients with dependent functional outcome at discharge increased, over the 10-year study period. Elucidating the mechanism underlying differences in in-hospital mortality reduction in men may provide insights into effective interventions in the future.

Funder

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development

Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare

KAKENHI grants

National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Reference36 articles.

1. Intracerebral hemorrhage outcome: A comprehensive update

2. 2022 Guideline for the Management of Patients With Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Guideline From the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association

3. Statistics Bureau of Japan Population Census 2020. Basic Complete Tabulation on Population and Households. https://www.e-stat.go.jp/en/stat-search/files?page=1&layout=datalist&toukei=00200521&tstat=000001136464&cycle=0&tclass1=000001136466&tclass2val=0 (2020, accessed 2 December 2023).

4. National Institute of Population and Social Security Research. Regional population projections for Japan: 2015-2045. Population Research Series. Tokyo, Japan: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, 2018, pp.1–245.

5. Projections of future coronary heart disease and stroke mortality in Japan until 2040: a Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis

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