Methods for non-proportional hazards in clinical trials: A systematic review

Author:

Bardo Maximilian12ORCID,Huber Cynthia12ORCID,Benda Norbert13,Brugger Jonas4,Fellinger Tobias5ORCID,Galaune Vaidotas6,Heinz Judith1,Heinzl Harald7ORCID,Hooker Andrew C6ORCID,Klinglmüller Florian5,König Franz4,Mathes Tim1,Mittlböck Martina7ORCID,Posch Martin4,Ristl Robin4ORCID,Friede Tim1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Medical Statistics, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany

2. Maximilian Bardo and Cynthia Huber contributed equally to this study.

3. Federal Institute for Drugs and Medical Devices, Bonn, Germany

4. Center for Medical Data Science, Section of Medical Statistics, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria

5. Agentur für Gesundheit und Ernährungssicherheit (AGES), Vienna, Austria

6. Department of Pharmacy, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden

7. Center for Medical Data Science, Section of Clinical Biometrics, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria

Abstract

For the analysis of time-to-event data, frequently used methods such as the log-rank test or the Cox proportional hazards model are based on the proportional hazards assumption, which is often debatable. Although a wide range of parametric and non-parametric methods for non-proportional hazards has been proposed, there is no consensus on the best approaches. To close this gap, we conducted a systematic literature search to identify statistical methods and software appropriate under non-proportional hazard. Our literature search identified 907 abstracts, out of which we included 211 articles, mostly methodological ones. Review articles and applications were less frequently identified. The articles discuss effect measures, effect estimation and regression approaches, hypothesis tests, and sample size calculation approaches, which are often tailored to specific non-proportional hazard situations. Using a unified notation, we provide an overview of methods available. Furthermore, we derive some guidance from the identified articles.

Funder

European Medicines Agency

Publisher

SAGE Publications

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