A flexible micro-randomized trial design and sample size considerations

Author:

Xu Jing12ORCID,Yan Xiaoxi1,Figueroa Caroline34,Williams Joseph Jay56789,Chakraborty Bibhas121011ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Centre for Quantitative Medicine, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore

2. Programme in Health Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore

3. Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands

4. School of Social Welfare, University of California, Berkeley, USA

5. Department of Computer Science, University of Toronto, ON, Canada

6. Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Toronto, ON, Canada

7. Department of Psychology, University of Toronto, ON, Canada

8. Vector Institute for Artificial Intelligence Faculty Affiliate, University of Toronto, ON, Canada

9. Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Toronto, ON, Canada

10. Department of Statistics and Data Science, National University of Singapore, Singapore

11. Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA

Abstract

Technological advancements have made it possible to deliver mobile health interventions to individuals. A novel framework that has emerged from such advancements is the just-in-time adaptive intervention, which aims to suggest the right support to the individuals when their needs arise. The micro-randomized trial design has been proposed recently to test the proximal effects of the components of these just-in-time adaptive interventions. However, the extant micro-randomized trial framework only considers components with a fixed number of categories added at the beginning of the study. We propose a more flexible micro-randomized trial design which allows addition of more categories to the components during the study. Note that the number and timing of the categories added during the study need to be fixed initially. The proposed design is motivated by collaboration on the Diabetes and Mental Health Adaptive Notification Tracking and Evaluation study, which learns to deliver effective text messages to encourage physical activity among patients with diabetes and depression. We developed a new test statistic and the corresponding sample size calculator for the flexible micro-randomized trial using an approach similar to the generalized estimating equation for longitudinal data. Simulation studies were conducted to evaluate the sample size calculators and an R shiny application for the calculators was developed.

Funder

Duke-NUS Medical School

Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality

Ministry of Education - Singapore

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Health Information Management,Statistics and Probability,Epidemiology

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