The Relative Role of Sovereign CDS and Bond Markets in Efficiently Pricing Emerging Market Sovereign Credit Risk

Author:

Raja Zubair Ali1,Procasky William J.2ORCID,Oyotode-Adebile Renee3

Affiliation:

1. Department of Accounting and Finance, School of Business and Economics, Thompson Rivers University, BC, Canada.

2. Department of Accounting and Finance, Texas A&M University-Kingsville, Kingsville, TX, USA.

3. Melvin D. & Valorie Booth School of Business, Northwest Missouri State University, Maryville, MO, USA.

Abstract

Extant literature reports mixed findings on the relative efficiency of credit default swaps (CDS) and bond markets in pricing emerging market sovereign credit risk. Using a more comprehensive data set than analyzed earlier, we reexamine this issue and find that CDS dominate bonds in the price discovery of this risk, an advantage we attribute to the greater relative liquidity of that market. One exception is during the financial crisis, suggesting that when panic hits, sovereign markets price credit risk differently. However, even then, the CDS market has a greater impact on price discovery than the bond market, indicating greater overall efficiency. JEL Classification: G11, G12, G13, G14, G23

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Economics and Econometrics,Finance

Cited by 2 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Is credit default swap spread a leading indicator of bank default risk Evidence of Indian banks during the COVID-19 pandemic;International Journal of Indian Culture and Business Management;2023

2. Determinants of Russia’s Sovereign Risk;Russian Journal of Money and Finance;2021-12

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