Understanding the effects of economic policy uncertainty on US tourism firms’ performance

Author:

García-Gómez Conrado Diego1ORCID,Demir Ender2,Chen Ming-Hsiang3ORCID,Díez-Esteban José María4

Affiliation:

1. University of Valladolid - Duques de Soria Campus, Spain

2. Istanbul Medeniyet University, Turkey

3. Nanjing Xiaozhuang University, China; Washington State University, USA; Guilin University of Technology, China

4. University of Burgos, Spain

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the performance of US tourism firms using a sample of 296 publicly traded tourism companies from 2000 to 2018 with a sample of 3068 firm-year observations. Estimation results of panel regressio tests based on the system-generalized method of moments indicate that EPU has a negative impact on return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), and Tobin’s Q. Our results are consistent for different variable specifications. We also find that firm size and leverage play a moderating role in the relationship between EPU and firm performance. Panel quantile regression results show that the impact of EPU on US tourism firm performance is asymmetric. Specifically, low-performing (25% quantile of ROA and ROE) firms are less affected by EPU, and for the case of Tobin’s Q, EPU does not affect firms with a high growth opportunity (100% quantile of Tobin’s Q).

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management,Geography, Planning and Development

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