The pandemic as a criminological experiment: Crime in the Netherlands during 12 months of COVID-19 measures

Author:

Kruisbergen Edwin W.1ORCID,Haas Marco B.1,Moolenaar Debora E.G.1,van Es Lisa2ORCID,Snijders Joanieke M.A.1,Houwing Lise2,Stickle Ben3

Affiliation:

1. Ministry of Justice and Security, The Netherlands

2. National Police, the Netherlands

3. Middle Tennessee State University, USA

Abstract

COVID-19 caused serious personal and societal damage. It also created, however, a unique natural experiment. How did the pandemic affect crime levels? In this article, we analyse unique empirical data for the Netherlands, covering January 2016–March 2021, to assess if and how crime patterns changed during the first 12 months of COVID-19-related measures. Domestic violence, which was expected to rise, did not increase, nor did distraction burglary. Residential burglary, bicycle theft and pickpocketing, however, decreased considerably, especially during (some of the) weeks when lockdown measures were into force. Online crime rates on the other hand increased. An opportunity theoretical approach regarding crime offers a good explanation for these changes.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

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1. Catalytic converter theft: An examination of the elasticity of crime;Crime Prevention and Community Safety;2024-05-03

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