Assessing Productive Structures in Brazil With Dynamic Time Varying Graphs

Author:

Ribeiro Luiz Carlos de Santana1ORCID,Pereira Eder Johnson de Area Leão2,Monteiro Roberto Luiz Souza34,Senna Valter de3,Ferreira Neto Amir Borges5,Pereira Hernane Borges de Barros34

Affiliation:

1. Departamento de Economia, Universidade Federal de Sergipe, São Cristóvão, Brazil

2. Departamento de Ensino Profissional, Instituto Federal do Maranhão, Bacabal, Brazil

3. Programa de Modelagem Computacional, SENAI Cimatec, Salvador, Brazil

4. Universidade do Estado da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil

5. Department of Economics, Lutgert College of Business, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL, USA

Abstract

This paper uses time varying graphs to evaluate the Brazilian production structures, assessing the relationship across economic sectors overtime given important macroeconomic shocks in the country. We use the annual Brazilian input-output matrices from the World Input–Output Database for the period 1995–2011. Our results show possible positive impacts of macroeconomic policies and higher commodity prices on increased network connectivity between 2002 and 2003, the negative influence of the 2008 crisis resulting in decreased network connectivity, and the intensification of the connectivity of the food, petrochemical and metals, and machinery sectors. These results provide insights on how potential macroeconomic exogenous shocks and policies propagates through the national production structure.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

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