Economic Policy Uncertainty and Equity Fund Flows to India: A Bayesian Approach-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Equity Fund Flows to India: A Bayesian Approach

Published:2024-01-17 Issue:2 Volume:72 Page:259-269
ISSN:0019-4662
Container-title:The Indian Economic Journal
language:en
Short-container-title:The Indian Economic Journal

Author:

French Joseph J.¹²^ORCID,Martin Michael²,McClatchey Christine²

Affiliation:

1. Current affiliation: School of Management, Asian Institute of Technology, Pathum Thani, Thailand

2. University of Northern Colorado, Greeley, Colorado, USA

Abstract

We compare the impacts of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU)-related shocks on equity fund flows (EFFs) to India using a Bayesian vector autoregression approach. We find that (a) Indian EPU and GEPU are strongly and negatively related to EFF; (b) EFF are more sensitive to GEPU relative to Indian EPU; (c) evidence of trend-chasing behaviour by fund managers in India; and (d) GEPU is an important factor for forecasting returns on the Bombay Stock Exchange. Taken together, our findings indicate that EPU is important to understanding equity allocation decisions and returns in India. JEL Codes: F21, F39, G11

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Link

http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/00194662231212721

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