“Neuroscience” models of institutional conflict under fog, friction, and adversarial intent

Abstract

Adapting recent formal perspectives on shared interbrain activity in social communication, we explore a model of “East Asian” implication of an effect on an adversary, and take a general approach to degrading an opponent’s rate of cognition. These developments represent surprisingly routine application of the asymptotic limit theorems of information and control theories to organized conflict, modified by the necessity of making “adiabatic” approximations allowing the theorems to work sufficiently well. The resulting probability models provide a rigorous foundation for constructing statistical tools for the analysis of real-time, real-world data involving contention on “Clausewitz Landscapes” of fog, friction, and deadly adversarial intent.