Correlation of arterial blood gas markers and lactate levels with outcomes in pediatric traumatic brain injury

Abstract

Background: Various physical markers have been used to predict outcome of traumatic brain injury in children. However, the utility of metabolic alterations for prognostication has been poorly described. Thus, we aim to correlate arterial blood gas markers and lactate levels with outcomes in children with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study that included all patients <16 years old who presented to the Emergency Department with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury (Glasgow Coma Scale ⩽13). Serial arterial blood gas results and lactate levels in the first five days of admission to a pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) were reviewed. Primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes were 28-day ventilator-free and PICU-free days. A stepwise logistic regression analysis in conjunction with receiver operating characteristic analysis were used to identify variables that were associated with in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes were analyzed using multiple linear regression. Results: Among the 43 patients analyzed, more than half of the patients (60%) had severe traumatic brain injury (Glasgow Coma Scale 8). Twenty-seven of the 43 (65%) patients underwent neurosurgical intervention and overall mortality was 9/43 (20.9%). The worst base excess and lactate levels of Day 2 of PICU stay were found to be most predictive for mortality with maximal area-under-curve (95% confidence interval) of 0.967 (0.906, 1.000). Worst lactate level on day 2 of PICU stay was also found to be associated with ventilator-free days and PICU-free days. Conclusion: In children with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury, base excess and lactate on Day 2 of PICU stay were predictors of mortality, duration of mechanical ventilation and length of PICU stay.