Predicting Progression in Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis at the First Visit by Integrating 2D Imaging and 1D Clinical Information

Abstract

Study Design Retrospective observational study. Objectives The prediction of curve progression in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) remains an unresolved area in orthopedic surgery. To make a rapid meaningful prediction, easily accessible multi-dimensional data at the patient’s first consultation should be used. Current studies use clinical growth parameters and numerical values extracted from radiographs to compile a predictive model, leaving out the radiographs themselves. Such practice inevitably wastes a lot of information. Thus, this study aims to create a neural network that can predict AIS progression among patients with curves indicated for bracing by integrating both one-dimensional (1D) clinical and two-dimensional (2D) radiological data collected at the patient’s first visit in a fully automated manner. Methods 513 idiopathic scoliosis patients indicated for and managed with bracing orthosis were recruited. After exclusion, 463 patients were included in deep learning analysis. Processed first-visit growth parameters and posteroanterior radiographs are used as training inputs and the curve progression outcomes obtained in follow ups are used as binary training outputs. The CapsuleNet architecture was modified and trained accordingly to make a prediction. Results The final model achieved 90% sensitivity with an overall accuracy of 73.9% in the prediction of AIS in-brace curve progression by using first-visit multi-dimensional data, outperforming conventional convolutional neural networks. Conclusions This first-ever multidimensional-input model shows promise in serving as a screening tool for AIS in-brace curve progression. The incorporation of such a model into routine AIS diagnostic pipeline can assist orthopedics clinicians in personalizing the most appropriate management for each patient.