1. Center for Risk Analysis, Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
2. Center for Risk Analysis, Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, Division of General Medicine and the Partners AIDS Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
3. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
4. Center for Risk Analysis, Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, Sheffield Health Economics Group, School of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom