The Benefits of Hindsight and Modern Risk Assessment Tools: An Evaluation of Minnesota’s COVID-19 Early Release Program

Author:

Clark Valerie A.1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Minnesota Department of Corrections, St. Paul, USA

Abstract

Given the devastating effects of COVID-19 on congregate living settings, many correctional agencies have been forced to expedite the release of incarcerated persons beginning in 2020. This research evaluated the recidivism outcomes of 158 individuals released early from prison in response to the pandemic compared to a similar cohort of standard releases. Cox regression analyses revealed that individuals released early were no more or less likely to be re-arrested or returned to prison for a supervision violation compared to the control sample, but they were significantly less likely to be convicted of a new offense. This research demonstrated that carefully selected low-risk individuals can be released early from prison without compromising public safety.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Law,Pathology and Forensic Medicine

Reference43 articles.

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2. Evaluating the Predictive Validity of the Compas Risk and Needs Assessment System

3. Carson A. (2020). Prisoners in 2019. Bureau of Justice Statistics. https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/p19.pdf

4. Carson A. (2021). Prisoners in 2020. Bureau of Justice Statistics. https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/p20st.pdf

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