Selective maintenance of multi-state series systems considering maintenance quality uncertainty and failure effects

Abstract

In order to improve the lifetime and reliability of equipment operation stage, it is necessary to carry out maintenance for components. The typical selective maintenance model does not consider the maintenance quality uncertainty and the failure effects, which may make the decision-maker overestimates the reliability of completing the next task after system maintenance, resulting in incorrect maintenance decision and prone to serious consequences of failure. In this paper, the potential discrepancy between the target maintenance quality and the actual maintenance quality of the decision maker is considered. At the same time, a multi-state FMECA is proposed to measure the failure effects under different states. Finally, the selective maintenance model of the multi-state series systems is established and solved by the genetic algorithm. The results show that considering the effect of component failure and the uncertainty of maintenance quality has an influence on maintenance decision. The maintenance decision made in this way is more consistent with the engineering practice.