Productivity losses associated with premature mortality due to cancer in Russia: A population-wide study covering 2001–2030

Author:

Barchuk Anton12ORCID,Bespalov Alexander12,Huhtala Heini1,Chimed Tuvshinjargal1,Belyaev Alexey2,Moore Malcolm3,Anttila Ahti4,Auvinen Anssi1,Pearce Alison5,Soerjomataram Isabelle6

Affiliation:

1. Faculty of Social Sciences/Health Sciences, Tampere University, Finland

2. Petrov National Research Medical Center of Oncology, Russia

3. ASEAN Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research Group, Khon Kaen University, Thailand

4. Finnish Cancer Registry, Finland

5. The Centre for Health Economics Research and Evaluation, University of Technology Sydney, Australia

6. Section of Cancer Surveillance, International Agency for Research on Cancer, France

Abstract

Aims: Productivity losses related to premature cancer mortality have been assessed for most developed countries but results for Russia are limited to cross-sectional reports. The aim of this study was to quantify productivity costs due to cancer mortality in Russia between 2001 and 2015 and project this to 2030. Methods: Cancer mortality data (2001–2015) were acquired from the State Cancer Registry, whereas population data, labour force participation rates and annual earnings were retrieved from the Federal State Statistics Service. Cancer mortality was projected to 2030 and the human capital approach was applied to estimate productivity losses. Results: The total annual losses increased from US6.5b in 2001–2005 to US$8.1b in 2011–2015, corresponding to 0.24% of the annual gross domestic product. The value is expected to remain high in 2030 (US$7.5b, 0.14% of gross domestic product). Productivity losses per cancer death are predicted to grow faster in women (from US$18,622 to US$22,386) than in men (from US$25,064 to US$28,459). Total losses were found to be highest for breast cancer in women (US$0.6b, 20% of overall losses in women) and lung cancer in men (US$1.2b, 24%). The absolute predicted change of annual losses between 2011–2015 and 2026–2030 was greatest for cervix uteri (+US$214m) in women and for lip, oral and pharyngeal cancers in men (+US$182m). Conclusions: In Russia, productivity losses due to premature cancer mortality are substantial. Given the expected importance especially for potentially preventable cancers, steps to implement effective evidence-based national cancer control policies are urgently required.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,General Medicine

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