Survival Status and Predictors of Mortality Among Pediatrics Burn Victims Admitted to Burn Centers of Addis Ababa Public Hospitals, Ethiopia: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Abstract

Background. Burn is a major public health problem in pediatric populations worldwide. This study aimed to determine the survival status and predictors of mortality among pediatric burn victims admitted to burn centers in Ethiopia.  Methods. A retrospective cohort study was conducted on the patient charts of 412 pediatric patients with burn injuries at burn centers in Addis Ababa from the 1st of January 2016 to the 30th of December 2019. Data was entered into the Epi-Data manager. Then, the data was exported to STATA V-14 for cleaning and analysis. For the analysis, the proportional hazard model was used. After the model fitness test, variables with a P-value of <.25 in the bivariate analysis were fitted to the multivariate analysis. Finally, statistical significance was decided at a P-value of <.05, and the hazard ratio was used to determine the strength of the association.  Result. The study reported an overall incidence rate of 2.4 per 1000 child days. Additionally, it revealed that the median hospital length of stay was 25.00 days (95% CI: 21.57, 28.45). During the follow-up period, 8.25% of deaths occurred among pediatric patients with burn injuries. Specifically, having a full-thickness burn (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] 2.51, 95% CI: 1.12, 5.62) and neck burn (AHR 2.82, 95% CI: 1.04, 7.68) were identified as significant predictors contributing to increased mortality among burn-injured pediatric individuals.  Conclusion. The study highlighted significant mortality rates among pediatric patients suffering from burn injuries. Based on the findings a full-thickness burn injury and burns in the neck area are independent predictors of mortality in pediatric burn patients. Based on the identified predictors of mortality in pediatric burn patients, clinicians should prioritize early recognition, prompt intervention, multidisciplinary management, vigilant monitoring, and preventive strategies to optimize outcomes and reduce mortality rates in this vulnerable population.