People Place Larger Bets When Risky Choices Provide a Postbet Option to Cash Out

Author:

Bennett Daniel1ORCID,Albertella Lucy1,Forbes Laura1,Hayes Ty2ORCID,Verdejo-Garcia Antonio1,Walasek Lukasz3ORCID,Ludvig Elliot A.3ORCID

Affiliation:

1. School of Psychological Sciences, Monash University

2. Warwick Business School, University of Warwick

3. Department of Psychology, University of Warwick

Abstract

After a risky choice, decision makers must frequently wait out a delay period before the outcome of their choice becomes known. In contemporary sports-betting apps, decision makers can “cash out” of their bet during this delay period by accepting a discounted immediate payout. An important open question is how availability of a postchoice cash-out option alters choice. We investigated this question using a novel gambling task that incorporated a cash-out option during the delay between bet and outcome. Across two experiments ( N = 240 adults, recruited via Prolific), cash-out availability increased participants’ bet amounts by up to 35%. Participants who were more likely to cash out when odds deteriorated were less likely to cash out when odds improved. Furthermore, the effect of cash-out availability on bet amounts was positively correlated with individual differences in cash-out propensity for bets with deteriorating odds only. These results suggest that cash-out availability may promote larger bets by allowing bettors to avoid losing their entire stake.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Reference43 articles.

1. The effects of an uncertain abandonment value on the investment decision

2. Random effects structure for confirmatory hypothesis testing: Keep it maximal

3. Bennett D. (2022). No evidence for short-timescale temporal declines in expectations within a controlled cognitive task. Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society 44, 2044–2051. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4p27t4cw#main

4. Intrinsic Valuation of Information in Decision Making under Uncertainty

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3